In Japan, Prime Minister Takaichi secured a decisive victory over the weekend, as her recently called election delivered a landslide majority for the Liberal Democratic Party – a feat that has eluded many leaders in recent years.
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After months of negotiations that ultimately toppled two prime ministers, France has finally secured parliamentary approval for a national budget. The breakthrough was made possible when the Socialist Party signalled it would stand aside, provided certain concessions were made.
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This week, investors are focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, which began on Tuesday and concludes this evening UK time with an interest-rate decision. Rates currently sit within the range of 3.5-3.75%.
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For the first time since September, UK inflation has risen. Headline CPI came in for the month of December at 3.4%, with an increase in tobacco prices accounting for a large portion of the latest rise, alongside rising food costs.
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Over in Iran, what started as anger over the sharp collapse of the Iranian rial has broadened into a wave of dissatisfaction with the country’s leadership more generally, with protests and fatalities characterising the past few weeks.
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With scant economic data for investors to pour over as the new year gets started, all eyes have turned to the recent U.S.-Venezuela upheaval. On Saturday, the world woke to news that President Donald Trump had authorised a raid of Venezuela overnight, capturing the current President Maduro and his wife on alleged narco-terrorism charges.
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This morning, UK headline CPI for November was released, coming in below expectations at 3.2%, down from 3.6% in October. The slowdown was driven by weaker food and core goods inflation, which helped ease overall price pressures.
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This week, traders have the Fed’s last monetary policy meeting of the year in focus (a decision will be made by Wednesday). The Fed has a duty to cater to their dual mandate of stability in price growth and maintain strength in the labour market.
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On Monday, fresh data showed that China’s factory activity improved marginally in November, although it remained in contractionary territory. The composite PMI slipped to 49.7, signalling ongoing weakness – since readings above 50 indicate expansion, while those below reflect contraction.
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On Tuesday, the Confederation of British Industry published a survey showing that confidence among British retailers has fallen compared with a year ago, alongside a slowdown in retail sales. The indicator measuring how retail sales have changed over the past year slipped to -32 in November from -27 in October.
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